Category: Kent Crispin

Originally shared by Shelenn Ayres

State parties run their own primaries and caucuses. When there is a dispute, they consult both the caucus goers and the DNC when necessary. All candidates know the rules for each state up front and plan their strategies accordingly. All candidates agree to the authority of the state and national parties. While the popular vote does factor in, the delegates are what matters for the nomination. Now that the results for IA are in, let’s examine them:

IA gets 44 national pledged delegates and 8 national unpledged delegates.

IDP Rules on State Delegate Math:

First each precinct has a viability number to be awarded delegates

Caucuses that elect 1 delegate -> majority rule

Caucuses that elect 2 delegates -> eligible attendees times 0.25 and round up

Caucuses that elect 3 delegates -> eligible attendees divided by 6 and round up

Caucuses that elect 4 or more delegates -> eligible attendees times 0.15 and round up

Second, except for single delegate precincts, a formula is applied to each viable candidate group to award state delegates

(group members times delegates available)/attendees = delegates group elects

The official state delegate results are:

Clinton Caucus: 700.59  state delegate equivalents

Sanders Caucus: 696.82 state delegate equivalents

O’Malley Caucus: 7.61 state delegate equivalents

Uncommitted Caucus: 0.46 state delegate equivalents

15% minimum per DNC rules is required for pledged national delegates to be awarded and pledged national delegates are awarded proportionally. The official results as of Feb 2, 2016 are:

Clinton: 23

Sanders: 21

For the unpledged delegates, the current standing is:

Clinton: 7

Sanders: 0

Uncommitted: 1

Combined delegate count for IA’s 52 convention delegates:

Clinton:30

Sanders: 21

Uncommitted: 1

Final analysis:

Clinton won the popular vote

Clinton won the state delegate vote

Clinton won the pledged delegate vote

Clinton won the unpledged delegate vote

Clinton won the combined delegate vote

Clinton won Iowa

http://iowademocrats.org/statement-from-idp-chair-on-tonights-historically-close-caucus-results/

Originally shared by Betsy McCall

http://science.slashdot.org/story/16/01/27/0021236/math-says-conspiracies-are-prone-to-unravel?utm_source=slashdot

It just occurs to me that, regardless of policies, it would be tremendously boring to have yet another straight white male president.

I’ve been under the impression for some time that Sanders supporters produce more negative material about Hillary Clinton than vice versa.  In an attempt to quantify this, I looked at the first 100 posts in the  Bernie Sanders for President 2016 community and the first 100 posts in the Hillary Clinton for President 2016 community, and counted the negative posts about the competitor.

The Sanders group had 13 posts that cast Clinton in a definite negative light; the Clinton group had 4 posts that cast Sanders in a negative light.  In general, the Clinton group seldom mentioned Sanders, and mostly posts positive messages about their candidate — new endorsements and so on.  The Sanders group, in contrast, had, in addition to negative posts about Clinton,  negative posts about the “establishment”, the “mainstream press”, and “political conspiracies against Sanders”.  Posts mentioning Clinton, in general, are much more common in the Sanders group than posts mentioning Sanders in the Clinton group.

There is nothing scientific about this — the posts in both groups change frequently, and I was just using my own interpretation of what was negative.  The relative mentions of the competing candidate are pretty objective, though.  

Originally shared by Betsy McCall

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2016/01/new-science-tells-us-men-politics-are-blowhards

Originally shared by Industry Tap

Pouring water over a cooking oil fire

Originally shared by Filamena Young

Let’s say I wanted to have a fairly well rounded opinion on Wuxia movies in 50 films or less, what experts would I turn to, or what movies would I have to put on that list?

Originally shared by Kris Nelson

This is an xcellent article…

https://medium.com/@MichaelSLinden/the-four-policy-reasons-why-i-support-hillary-clinton-in-the-democratic-primary-71a3a7a0f3a7#.48wq7gujg